NBA Lord's NBA Blog

NBA Lord's NBA Blog

Monday, June 16, 2014

What Should We Take Away From The NBA Finals?


                                               (credit: miamiherald.com) 
            I’m sure if you are reading this, you are fully aware that the San Antonio Spurs won their 5th NBA Championship on Sunday night after dominating the Miami Heat in 5 games. As J.A. Adande pointed out on twitter, the Spurs’ 528-458 scoring edge over the Heat was the largest point differential in the history of the NBA Finals. What was expected to be a close 7 game series ended up being a 5 game beat-down, which has left many of us who analyze the NBA scratching our heads.  
We knew the Spurs were a really good team and that with home court advantage the series was theirs to lose, but none of us foresaw the shellacking that they delivered the Miami Heat. The key question going into the series was “Can a better team defeat a team with the world’s best player?” and the answer we got was a resounding “Yes”. After watching this series it is abundantly clear that the San Antonio Spurs simply are heads and shoulders above the Miami Heat and playing at an entirely different level from anybody else in the Eastern Conference. Remember how the Heat thumped the Pacers and looked like they were on another level? Well the Spurs looked even more dominant against the Heat than the Heat did against the Pacers. This means that the Spurs and the Pacers don’t even belong on the same floor together and the Pacers had the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference!

There truly are so many different things to take away from the NBA Finals that I could devote multiple articles to the topic. What I will do instead for the sake of time and efficiency is touch on multiple things instead of doing an in-depth analysis of just one thing. 
The first thing to take away from this NBA Finals is that the San Antonio Spurs are truly a team for the ages. I don’t mean just this team, but more specifically the Spurs during the Tim Duncan & Gregg Popovich era. Over these last 17 years with both Duncan and Popovich in the organization, the Spurs have won 5 NBA championships and been to 6 NBA Finals, with the only loss coming to the Heat last year. They have been the ultimate model for consistency, teamwork, and class over the course of this time. To see Tim Duncan and Gregg Popovich get a 5th NBA title as their careers come to a close truly is fitting.
The second thing to take away from this NBA Finals is that the future remains bright in San Antonio thanks to the emergence of NBA Finals MVP Kawhi Leonard. Over the last 3 games of the NBA Finals, Leonard averaged 23.7 points, 9.3 rebounds, 2 steals, and 2 blocks. A new star was born before our eyes, and the Spurs organization has to like the fact that at just 22 years of age, Kawhi Leonard is already blossoming into a player who can be the face of the franchise once Tim Duncan is gone. 
As for the Miami Heat side of things, three questions must be asked: Where do the Heat go from here? Was “The Big Three” A Success? Will LeBron James stay in Miami? I will try and answer each question briefly, though keep in mind that there is no right answer to each question.

                                    (credit: sportsglory.com) 
              
As for where the Heat go from here, it is really tough to know. 2 championships in 4 years is really good and 4 straight trips to the NBA Finals is an incredible achievement. With LeBron James as their franchise player, the Heat have to like their chances of continuing to contend for titles provided they keep this core group together and that they stay healthy. Nobody in the Eastern Conference gives the Heat any real scare at the moment, and so provided they all opt in to their contracts for next season, the Heat should like their chances to get back to the NBA Finals. However, there is reason for them to worry. First of all, Dwayne Wade’s health is a huge concern. If he doesn’t feel like he can stay healthy and that he is ready to hang it up, then the Heat are looking at a rebuilding process ahead, which means that they may not hang on to LeBron James. In addition, Shane Battier is retiring, Ray Allen may be gone, and other members of this team aren’t likely to be back. Michael Beasley and especially Greg Oden were failed experiments and so the Heat really doesn’t have any more ways to get better this offseason unless they somehow land Carmelo Anthony or Kevin Love, which right now appears to be pie in the sky.
The Heat need to find a way to improve their team even if they keep this core group together and it’s not entirely clear how they do that. I see these three guys sticking together for one more season, but unless they make some good moves this offseason to get better complimentary pieces, their chances of winning a 3rd title in 5 years looks slim. 
 Was “The Big Three A Success”? This question is a really difficult question to answer and obviously a question that must be asked. LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, and Chris Bosh won 2 titles together in a span of 4 years together and each year they didn’t win a title, they lost in the NBA Finals. It’s hard to say that they weren’t a success considering how rare a feat it is to do what they did. That being said, the expectations that they put on themselves were ridiculously high and each season was approached like with a “championship or bust” type of mentality. For them to only have a 50% success rate at accomplishing their goal, especially when looking at how they almost didn’t get it done last year, it’s hard to say that they can feel wholly satisfied with how things have gone. The final piece to all this of course is whether or not “The Big Three” is done or not. If they are done, then we can look at them as a failure to accomplish lofty goals that they alone set for themselves. On the other hand, if they plan to be together for a few more years, then we have to say that they are still a work in progress, which makes them sound rather scary given the success they’ve already had.
            This leads us to the third question “ Will LeBron James stay in Miami?” I think this ultimately comes down to whether or not Dwyane Wade is confident that he can be healthy. If he is confident that he can be healthy going forward, then LeBron James stays in Miami. If Wade comes to him and says he doesn’t think he can be healthy going forward and that retirement is something he is considering, then LeBron James has to consider other options. One option is to of course stay in Miami, but expect a rebuilding period or at least a period of finding new free agents to sign. This option has the benefits of continuing to build his legacy in the same place where he has already won titles and also the benefit of not facing more scrutiny for being a guy who leaves a team once the going gets tough. That being stated, LeBron James is all about winning titles and he doesn’t care what we in the public think, which means if he likes his chances to win elsewhere, he’ll leave Miami. If he does leave Miami, the question on everybody’s mind is “Will it be Cleveland?” I personally doubt he ever dons a Cavaliers jersey again, but truth is stranger than fiction. Perhaps he wishes he had won a title in Cleveland and also he might like the fact that the Cavaliers have some attractive pieces to work with. E.g. Kyrie Irving and whoever they pick at #1 this year. The notion of him going back to Cleveland isn’t insane, but it also has the feel of being just wishful thinking. Why leave a place where you have won for a place where you failed to win? I don’t have a good answer to that question, but perhaps he feels like his legacy will be hurt unless he delivers Cleveland a championship.
            In conclusion, there are a ton of things to take away from this NBA Finals, and I hope I gave you a good list of key things to think about as we look back on this NBA Finals. This series featured two great teams, multiple hall of fame players, and a hall of fame coach. There are so many things I could have touched on that I didn’t and I encourage you think about what some of those things might be. One thing I didn’t touch on was LeBron’s 2-3 record in the NBA Finals, but I didn’t address that because the comparisons to Michael Jordan are asinine. Michael Jordan is the greatest player to ever play and LeBron James’ career isn’t over yet, so perhaps we shelf that debate until LeBron gets enshrined in the Basketball Hall of Fame so that we can do a final tally of all the things that both men accomplished. I personally think that even at that point, Michael Jordan’s resume for greatest of all time will be much stronger.  But as we look at what this Finals means for the here and now, it means that the Spurs are still a championship organization, the Heat have serious questions to answer, and the future of the NBA remains a mystery. What could possibly be more exciting conclusions to reach as we look forward to next year? 

---Ben Parker: follow me on twitter @nba_lord 

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